American politics 2023: At least two bills pass that violate the “Hastert Rule”/majority-of-the-majority principle?

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resolved Jan 2

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This market is part of series of predictions made by Matthew Yglesias. Please check the group to bet on them all.

Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.

Recently he made many predictions on American politics events, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:

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From Yglessias's review post:
> True: At least two bills pass that violate the “Hastert Rule” (80%)

@traders Does this mean this was misresolved?

predictedNO

@Shump i'm not subbed, did he cite any specifics? I searched for a while when this last came up and couldn't find any

@SemioticRivalry That's all there is. Just that link.

predictedNO

@Shump Yeah, a rule vote failing isn't a violation of the hastert rule.

A rule failing can happen if 7 Republicans defect, a violation of the Hastert rule (or Majority of the Majority) can only happen when an absolute majority of Republicans vote no and it passes anyway.

Hasn’t this already occurred? Both governments funding bills this year were proposed by a republican speaker but passed in spite of being opposed by a majority of republicans