📄This market resolves YES if India reduces its monthly crude oil imports from Russia by 20% or more, compared to the average monthly import volume from January 1 to July 31, 2025, at any time before November 1, 2025.

• Reduction must be reflected in official Indian trade data or confirmed by credible sources (e.g. Reuters, Bloomberg, Indian Ministry of Commerce).

• Applies to total national imports (public and private sector combined).

• A temporary dip of one month counts, as long as the drop is ≥20% compared to Jan–July average.

• Does not resolve YES if the reduction is due to unrelated factors (e.g. shipping accident) unless politically/economically linked to sanctions or pressure.

Otherwise, resolves NO.