Will any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ1492027
71%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market resolves YES if, in response to the Iran war's effect on markets, any non-USA country eases, suspends, or removes any current sanctions on Russian crude oil or petroleum products, or changes the price cap on Russian oil products.
Resolves as soon as there's naval stability in the strait of Ormuz (if it happens before 2027).
Countries currently implementing sanctions/price caps on Russian oil:
- The European Union
- The United Kingdom
- Canada
- Japan
- Australia
- New Zeeland
- Norway
- Iceland
- Switzerland
I will not trade on this market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?
51% chance
Will the sanctions on Russia be largely lifted before 2031?
55% chance
How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?
Will Russia run out of money?
23% chance