MANIFOLD
Will any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ105
2027
78%
chance

The market resolves YES if, in response to the Iran war's effect on markets, any non-USA country eases, suspends, or removes any current sanctions on Russian crude oil or petroleum products, or changes the price cap on Russian oil products.

Resolves as soon as there's naval stability in the strait of Ormuz (if it happens before 2027).

Countries currently implementing sanctions/price caps on Russian oil:
- The European Union
- The United Kingdom
- Canada
- Japan
- Australia
- New Zeeland
- Norway
- Iceland
- Switzerland

I will not trade on this market

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