🧠 Which LLM will have the most real-world commercial usage by the end of 2025? | Manifold

🧠 Which LLM will have the most real-world commercial usage by the end of 2025?

19

275Ṁ942

in an hour

54%

OpenAI's GPT-4.5 / GPT-5

16%

Anthropic's Claude 3 / 4

15%

Other

6%

Google DeepMind's Gemini 1.5 / 2

1.7%

DeepSeek models (DeepSeek-VL, DeepSeek Coder, etc.)

1.6%

xAI's Grok (via X / Twitter)

1.3%

Cohere's Command R+ or similar

1.2%

Alibaba’s Qwen series

1%

Mistral models (Mixtral, Mistral 8x22B, etc.)

1%

Meta's LLaMA 3.x

Predict which large language model (LLM) will achieve the greatest commercial adoption and real-world integration by the end of 2025. Consider factors such as the scale and quality of deployment across consumer applications, enterprise software, developer tools, cloud platforms, and AI-powered services. Include the impact of ecosystem partnerships, API availability, customization and fine-tuning capabilities, inference efficiency, and alignment with industry needs. Your prediction should reflect which models will be most widely used and influential in practical scenarios, beyond just benchmark performance or hype.

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How is the resolution to this going to be determined?

Do you have some reliable way to measure this?

bought Ṁ10 YES

I assume by OpenAI 4.5/GPT-5 you mean all OpenAI models including o3 and 4o, right?

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