Will the 1957 Nobel Prize in Physics winners still be the average longest-lived Nobel laureates of *any* year by 2040?
Basic
0
2040
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Of any Nobel Prize consisting of more than one person (so Jimmy Carter, Peace 2002 doesn't quite count)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
What will be true about the 2025 Nobel Prize Laureates ?
Will Nobel Prizes be awarded in 2060?
70% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
31% chance
Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?
48% chance
Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?
46% chance
Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
By the end of 2043, will the world record for oldest living person ever be beaten by 5 years?
35% chance
Will anyone be at least 140 years old by 2072?
31% chance
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2025?
Will a thiel fellow win a nobel prize by 2055
37% chance