Will Russia take more territory than what Ukraine will regain between beginning and EOY 2024
Plus
26
Ṁ2783Jan 1
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
predicts YES
Revealing WaPo article tonight
> U.S. doesn’t anticipate major gains by Ukraine against Russia in 2024, officials say
The Biden administration is working on a long-term strategy for supporting Kyiv. But those plans do not anticipate Ukraine taking back territory lost to Russia.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/01/26/ukraine-war-plan-biden-defense/
Related questions
Related questions
By the end of 2024, will Ukraine still hold any of the Russian territory it currently holds?
81% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
7% chance
Will there be a separate Ukrainian incursion into Russia before the end of 2024?
40% chance
What will be true of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
38% chance
Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
3% chance
At the end of the war, will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territory they didn’t control at the start?
81% chance
Will Russia lose control of at least as much territory inside Russia as it did to Wagner by the end of 2030?
40% chance
Will Russia implement a major nationwide forced military mobilization for the Ukraine war before EOY 2024?
14% chance
Will Russia take Poltava by EOY 2028?
23% chance