Will Luigi Mangione be sentenced to death by EOY2030? [does not have to be carried out]
16
100Ṁ5802031
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
[still resolves to YES if originally sentenced to death then commuted]
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
President Trump to pardon Luigi Mangione?
5% chance
Will Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
96% chance
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
60% chance
Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
3% chance
Will Luigi Mangione attempt suicide at least once while in custody before his trial is over?
10% chance
Will Luigi Mangione get into a relationship/fall in love by EOY 2027?
30% chance
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of terrorism?
1% chance
Will someone be charged and convicted for killing Michalis Katsouris by EOY 2030?
45% chance
Will someone be charged and convicted for killing Jeff Machado by EOY 2030?
70% chance
Will Luigi Mangione publish a book before 2030?
41% chance