Will Longevity Escape Velocity (LEV) happen earlier for 30 year olds than for 80 year olds?
2
90Ṁ20
2999
64%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Under what circumstances can you imagine something different happening?

What’s lev?

@ian I think it means "Longevity Escape Velocity", the point in time in which life expectancy increases by at least 1 year in every year (indicating that it may become feasible to live forever).

People are also trading

Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030?
-3% 1d19% chance
Will the oldest person alive in 2030 be at least 120 years old?
-5% 1d20% chance
Life Extension Velocity (LEV) - for every year we survive, we gain an extra year - by 2036?
34% chance
Will one person currently alive reach longevity escape velocity?
48% chance
Will "age escape velocity" become a talking point in popular media within the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will longevity escape velocity happen earlier for palm cockatoos than for hyacinth macaws?
41% chance
Will worldwide life expectancy be at least 80 years at the beginning of 2035?
14% chance
Will humans make breakthroughs, that would at minimum double the lifespan of a willing 30yo with high resources?
13% chance
Will Bryan Johnson achieve his goal of aging escape velocity before 2030?
10% chance
What will be true about AGI and longevity in 2040?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy