Will King Charles III of England's reign be long enough for the development of AGI?
62
1kṀ45332066
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will King Charles live to see the creation of AGI?
15% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?
16% chance
Will a new non-AI technology with at least as much impact on society as the internet or TV did be developed before AGI?
22% chance
Sort by:
This probably underestimates King Charles's life expectancy (his parents lived to 99 and 96), but it assumes he doesn't abdicate.

People are also trading
Related questions
Will King Charles live to see the creation of AGI?
15% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?
16% chance
Will a new non-AI technology with at least as much impact on society as the internet or TV did be developed before AGI?
22% chance