Will janus/@repligate meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?
5
130Ṁ4613000
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will davidad meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?
6% chance
Will Alex Zhu meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 2%?
18% chance
Will manifold markets meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?
18% chance
Will Jeremy Nixon meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?
12% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3%?
17% chance
Will agent foundations [eg Scott Garrabrant] end up affecting p(doom) more than 5%?
55% chance
Will MIRI meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 5%?
47% chance
Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 10 years (2033)?
58% chance
Will the VC 50 Years meaningfully affect p(doom) by more than 3?
18% chance
Will my p(doom) be above 10% in 20 years (2043)?
32% chance