1,000Related questions
Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?
20% chance
Will Elon join Manifold through 2025?
3% chance
Will Elon musk announce plans to create a manifold clone/competitor by Jan 1st 2026?
13% chance
Will Elon Musk tweet a link to RRN by the end of 2025?
37% chance
Will Elon Musk believe and state publicly that buying twitter was a mistake, by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by Twitter by end of 2030?
6% chance
Will Elon Musk shut down Twitter by end of 2027? (conditioned on deal closing)
4% chance
Was Elon Musk an active Manifold user between December 2024 and April 2025?
9% chance