Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?
Basic
12
Ṁ5592032
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
36% chance
Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2025?
6% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2030)
38% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2035)
56% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025)
9% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
49% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
34% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
32% chance
Will China institute a naval blockade of Taiwan before the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
41% chance