
Will a non human animal win a nobel prize by 4000 AD?
11
170Ṁ1884000
56%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
8% chance
Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?
52% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
28% chance
Will an AI get an Ig Nobel Prize before 2050?
70% chance
Will anyone win a Nobel Prize for work on biopreservation or long-term suspended animation before 2100?
60% chance
Will a comic book person win the nobel prize for literature before 2043?
50% chance
Will a major psychedelics researcher win a nobel prize by 2050
26% chance
Will one of my descendants win a Nobel in my lifetime?
5% chance
Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
26% chance
Will a thiel fellow win a nobel prize by 2055
35% chance