Will Finland supply Ukraine with at least 8 leopard 2 tanks by the end of 2023
27
519
490
resolved Jan 10
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if the decision to send 8. or more Leopard 2 tanks to ukraine before 2024. Resolves NO if It sends no tanks or less than 8.

Important to observe is the fact that Finlnad only has 200 Leopard 2 tanks. Finland sending 8 tanks is equivalent of them sending 4 % of finnish MBTs.

https://puolustusvoimat.fi/documents/1948673/2014902/CBMFI23.pdf

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📢Resolved to NO

@humblestumble Can you please resolve?

@traders any proof? (in case creator does not come back)

predicted NO

@SirCryptomind
It's technically possible, since Finland has sent Ukraine 6 Leopard 2s and unspecified defense supplies valued at hundreds of millions in 2023.

In practice, I am pretty sure there have been no secret Leopard 2s sent to Ukraine by Finland in addition to the 6 publicly known ones.

https://reservilainen.fi/suomelta-lisaa-leopard-2-raivausvaunuja-ukrainaan/

https://www.defmin.fi/ajankohtaista/tiedotteet_ja_uutiset/tiedotearkisto/tiedotteet_2023/suomi_lahettaa_puolustustarvikkeita_ukrainaan.14063.news#12eceb58

predicted NO

@Awaclus yeah all we can go by is that there has been zero news coverage about additional tanks beyond the initial 6. And it's absurdly unlikely to have been covered up or deemed unnewsworthy.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

The question and the end of the description talk about 8 tanks, yet the resolve condition states 6, which one is the correct one? If 6, the market should resolve by now https://kyivindependent.com/finland-to-give-3-leopard-2-tanks-to-ukraine/

Three out of the six have reportedly been destroyed already: https://twitter.com/J_JHelin/status/1668011450290393088?t=2497I50yk5qY408NR7njzw&s=31

predicted YES

@dgga hmm this is problematic, I don't remember the original intent but I assume that the description is wrong.