closes Apr 14
Will Finland join NATO by the 15th of April?
84%
chance

Resolves YES IF Finland joins NATO before the 15th of April And NO if it doesn't.

Finland NATO
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dgga avatar
duNis predicting YES at 79%

Ratified by Hungary today, Turkey expected to ratify by Wednesday. Free money to be made here

BoltonBailey avatar
Bolton Bailey

@dgga Source on the Turkish vote being on Wednesday? I could not find news sites indicating this.

BoltonBailey avatar
Bolton Bailey

If this is true then this market is massively mispriced at 4%

https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-turkey-ratify-swedens-accessio

SemioticRivalry avatar
Semiotic Rivalryis predicting YES at 78%

Sweden is different from Finland.

Not sure if it'll be this week but definitely before apr 15 recess. this has been basically guaranteed for a couple weeks.

BoltonBailey avatar
Bolton Bailey

@SemioticRivalry Thanks, my bad

dgga avatar
duNis predicting YES at 78%
ManifoldDream avatar
Manifold in the WildBot

Will Finland join NATO by the 15th of April?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition