Resolves YES IF Finland joins NATO before the 15th of April And NO if it doesn't.
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duNis predicting YES at 79%
Ratified by Hungary today, Turkey expected to ratify by Wednesday. Free money to be made here
Bolton Bailey
@dgga Source on the Turkish vote being on Wednesday? I could not find news sites indicating this.
Bolton Bailey
If this is true then this market is massively mispriced at 4%
https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/will-turkey-ratify-swedens-accessio
Semiotic Rivalryis predicting YES at 78%
Sweden is different from Finland.
Not sure if it'll be this week but definitely before apr 15 recess. this has been basically guaranteed for a couple weeks.
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YES payouts
Ṁ1,338
Ṁ636
Ṁ418
Ṁ201
Ṁ150
Ṁ102
Ṁ71
Ṁ64
Ṁ49
Ṁ33
Ṁ11
NO payouts
Ṁ505
Ṁ316
Ṁ279
Ṁ268
Ṁ172
Ṁ140
Ṁ119
Ṁ87
Ṁ66
Ṁ66
Ṁ54
Ṁ20
Ṁ14
Ṁ14
Will Finland join NATO by the 15th of April?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition