Will humanity achieve AGI before good desktop search? | Manifold

Will humanity achieve AGI before good desktop search?

4

1kṀ253

2040

58%

chance

1H

6H

1D

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1M

ALL

This market will resolve to determine if we develop an artificial general intelligence (AGI) before desktop search becomes good.

I'll use common sense definitions for “Good Desktop Search” and AGI. In the case they happen pretty much at the same time, the market will be decided according to the following rules:

1. If AGI was necessary to develop good desktop search, the market will resolve to yes.

2. If good desktop search becomes available on Mac OS or Windows and does not use AGI as a component or substantial subsystem, the market will resolve to no.

The end date is set for January 1st, 2040. as a daily user of AI products and terrible desktop search I'll keep my eye on this one personally

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What is "desktop search"?

If you mean searching files by content or by name/metadata: This is already solved, e.g.:

With Dolphin Filebrowser and baloo on Linux. Instant results (i really mean instant!) even with terrabyte drives.

The Windows file search is so ridiculously slow due to NTFS filesystem.

What is it about current desktop search you currently find not good?

@TheAllMemeingEye doesn’t find files

@huge_uranium isn't that what file explorer search is for?

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In what year will we achieve AGI?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

Have we achieved AGI already?

Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?

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Related questions

In what year will we achieve AGI?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

Have we achieved AGI already?

Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?

Will AGI be achieved before AIs are able to smell?

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