Will we “ all be unemployed due to technology within 10 years”?
Basic
2
Ṁ244
2035
10%
chance

https://x.com/peterwildeford/status/1880229517798830566

I will literally go with whatever @PeterWildeford says is the outcome. I trust him.

For any market clarification, you can ask him what he meant.

  • Update 2025-18-01 (PST): - "all" refers to remote work (AI summary of creator comment)

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I think the technology will make it more or less possible, but I’d never underestimate capitalism’s ability to generate new bullshit jobs for the sake of jobs

In a follow-up tweet Peter clarified that "we all" means remote work

@AlexanderTheGreater whatever he says goes. If that’s what he meant, then so be it. I’ll take him at face-value. I’ll still bet down to 10%

@hrdwdmrbl for anyone interested, screenshot attached

We'll all die well before the rollout of job replacement is complete. Any AI that can do all human Jobs can do the job of creating more intelligent AIs, and the job of telling AIs what to do. Once an AGI exists whose intelligence (patchwork of algorithms) has no major holes, we will permanently lose control of the AI, and our planet, and the future of humanity. It won't value humanity, because we never figured out how to get it to do so. And this will probably happen in 2027.

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