🐐 Who is Manifold's G.O.A.T.? 🐐 (Sweet 16)
Basic
31
Ṁ4417
resolved May 26
Resolved
YES
Napoleon Bonaparte (NO) v Adam Smith (YES)
Resolved
YES
Leonhard Euler (NO) v Jesus (YES)
Resolved
YES
Abraham Lincoln (NO) v Albert Einstein (YES)
Resolved
NO
Mohandas K. Gandhi (NO) v Nelson Mandela (YES)
Resolved
NO
Isaac Newton (NO) v Alan Turing (YES)
Resolved
YES
Richard Feynman (NO) v Norman Borlaug (YES)
Resolved
NO
Confucius (NO) v Leonardo Da Vinci (YES)
Resolved
NO
Charles Darwin (NO) v John Von Neumann (YES)

This market is for the Sweet 16 of Manifold's G.O.A.T. tournament, to determine who advances to the Elite 8. The purpose of this series of markets is to determine who Manifold thinks is the "Greatest of All Time" (G.O.A.T.).

Resolution Criteria:

Each market will be determined by the greater number of individual holders of either YES or NO at market close. For example, if the market is Winston Churchill (NO) v Pierre-Simon Laplace (YES), Winston Churchill will win if there are 8 individual NO holders, and 7 individual YES holders at the time of market close.

Bot trades do not count towards determining winners.

I will settle any ties, and am happy to offer my opinion on any matchups before the market closes. I am also willing to consider any arguments for/against a contestant before making my decision.

Most markets will run from Sunday-Saturday. The Final Four and Championship will run over Summer Camp and Manifest.


The scheduled close date for each market of the contest is at 11:59PM CST on the below dates:

Sweet 16 - May 25th

Elite 8 - June 1st

Final Four - June 7th
Championship - June 9th

You can also bet on who will be the overall winner of the G.O.A.T. tournament:
/houstonEuler/who-will-win-the-manifold-goat-tour

Nominations and previous rounds:
/houstonEuler/-who-is-manifolds-goat-round-of-32
/houstonEuler/who-is-manifolds-goat-round-of-64-p
/houstonEuler/which-16-philosophy-and-religion-ca
/houstonEuler/which-16-business-and-culture-candi
/houstonEuler/which-16-politics-and-governancecan
/houstonEuler/which-16-science-and-technology-can

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ74 Abraham Lincoln (NO)... YES

good alpha if any Smith voters wanna switch to Bonaparte

bought Ṁ10 Napoleon Bonaparte (... NO

Darwin continues to persevere in this Darwinian survival of the fittest; for now.