Will anyone in the US die as a result of political violence before May 2024?
12
250Ṁ450
resolved Oct 15
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES, if by May 1, someone under US jurisdiction dies as a direct result of intentional political violence (civil unrest, rioting, coup attempt, terrorism, assassination, unconstitutional supression of protests...), although the perpetrator doesn't have to intend to cause death. The violence needs to be politically motivated (e.g. expression of political dissatisfaction; attempt to change policy or leadership...).

Violence ultimately directed at the US as a whole doesn't count (e.g. violence caused by foreign state actors or indiscriminate Islamic terrorism), riots against capitalism do. Suicides and accidents (e.g. heart attacks, traffic accidents) also don't count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ23
2Ṁ18
3Ṁ18
4Ṁ12
5Ṁ10
Sort by:
predictedNO
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules