Resolves when good evidence comes up. Aellas judgement or some sort of survey would count
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@Stralor and I was dumb enough to be first mover after aella and still get it wrong before realizing
In this other market, HMYS issued a controversial resolution, then hid critical comments and offered to pay for positive reviews. You should perhaps consider that when deciding whether to put your mana in this market. https://manifold.markets/hmys/will-scott-win-the-book-review-cont?r=RGFuaWVsRmlsYW4
@DanielFilan I resolved it correctly, as I have all my other markets. People review bombed my markets because they lost money after trying to snipe the market on a technicality at the end. I asked people to review the market positively to correct for the people down-rating it out of spite.
For those who are unaware. The market was a book review contest hosted by Scott Alexander. A bunch of people would write reviews of books, then the readers of ACX would vote on those reviews, and the review that got the most number of votes would win. Scott himself entered the contest anonymously. I made a market on whether he would win. He did end up winning and getting the most votes. But he disqualified himself because he thought it would be improper for him to win his own contest. I decided to resolve the market YES, as what people were thinking about when reading the market for most of its existence was whether he would get the most votes.
How much success does it bring?
@evergreenemily black screen website, your eyes will not become tired from staring at the screen for an extended period of time
@Shelvacu Hmmm. Then I don't know. Maybe we N/A. I think if enough people bet on the market maybe she will have incentive to get the data to get the mana so maybe she will do it.