Will there be a ban on distribution of deepfakes of public persons in the US by the end of 2025? | Manifold

Will there be a ban on distribution of deepfakes of public persons in the US by the end of 2025?

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29

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2026

52%

chance

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1W

1M

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Resolves as YES if by the end of 2025 there’s a law in the US that prohibits distributing (e.g. selling or posting on the internet) of AI generated deepfakes of publicly known person or group of people.

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#️ Technology

#‍ Celebrities

#Internet Censorship

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IMO there’s less than 10% chance such a ban stands up to judicial challenges

Where does a mandatory watermarking law sit?

What happens if a law is passed in specific contexts? Eg penalty for using it for revenge porn/sexual harassment?

What happens if there’s legal consensus that the law won’t survive constitutional review?

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/4431883-white-house-alarmed-by-fake-ai-taylor-swift-photos/

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