Will a deepfake video cause a major political controversy involving a head of state by 2026?
60
166
1k
2026
71%
chance

Resolves Yes if at least two of these things happen related to a deepfake video of a head of state:

  1. Extensive media coverage

  2. A significant impact on diplomatic relations (public statement from foreign state)

  3. Public protests

  4. Official government investigations

  5. Public statement from the head of state or their government addressing the video.

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Would what happened in Slovakia or with the leader of the opposition in the UK count had it been video?

bought Ṁ10 of YES

So if it is a head of government like Justin Trudeau or Rishi Sunak this doesn't count?

@BrunoParga Any head of state counts

@GabeGarboden So if it is a head of government like Justin Trudeau or Rishi Sunak this doesn't count?

They are not heads of state, that's my point

@BrunoParga Who ever the highest ranking person is

@GabeGarboden how do you determine that? Do you consider King Charles III, the head of both these states, as higher-ranking than the Prime Ministers?

You need to address the fact that some countries have a different head of state and government, and the easiest way to do so is just to declare that either counts.

@BrunoParga I don’t need to do anything.

You’re free to bet or not based on if you think it’s clear

@GabeGarboden sorry for trying to make you a tiny little bit less of an ignorant mouthbreather.

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