Why is it my job to provide evidence? If you don't think he's alive then you got blue pilled. Why would I select yes when everybody will get pissed. Give it some time. Gnostic Girl 🌷🫘 1mo

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@harlanprine I think you know in your heart that Jeffrey Epstein is still alive, and so the market should resolve YES. Speak your truth King 👑 🩷 When you close your eyes the evident cannot be seen. Maybe you think David Muir is gonna tell you? Or Bari Weiss?

@harlanprine It is your job to provide an explanation of what the question is, within reason. That should include things like "what sort of evidence is relevant" and "alive as of when" and "how is this question different from 'does harlan prime think Epstein is alive'".

It said I can extend the date. Unless that feature is invalid, You'll have to wait. If the Manifold mgmt doesn't like it, I will do whatever they want.

@harlanprine As @EvanDaniel explained below, changing the resolution date of a death market changes its resolution criteria, so that's problematic.

@harlanprine extending the date is fine, especially in cases where we're waiting for info, but I and many of the traders would appreciate clarification on the questions I asked below.

I'm going to wait to show how evil folks are.

@harlanprine Please resolve according to the original date so @mods don't have to get involved.

@harlanprine Please clarify: you mean "still alive" as of when? Original market open date, original close date? What happens if he was alive at market open, but not at original close? New close?

What evidence will this be based on? Under what circumstances are you going to extend things again?

There are many ways to write markets on Manifold, but it isn't really a place for evidence-free conspiracy theories. Even markets like "will I think X as of $date" can be fine if clearly labeled, but this isn't -- it's asking a factual question about the world, not your opinion.

@EvanDaniel I have traded as if "still alive" refers to each day, the present day. If other traders also think so, I suggest barring Harlan from resolving YES by himself; mods can resolve it the day that Jeffrey Epstein reveals himself to the world that very day as still alive. But allow him to resolve NO when he wants or when he loses faith in Jeffrey's return.

I've traded under the assumption it's entirely @harlanprine 's call and what convinces him. He never gave us another criteria to go by in the description or comments.

I traded under the assumption that it is "provably alive at closing date" and would expect explicit mention in the description if the criteria were different from what the title suggests.

@GnosticGirl I think that's a reasonable assumption, and anyone wanting better criteria should have asked for clarification or understand the risk they were taking. Or made their own version of the question.

@EvanDaniel I was operating pretty much along the lines of what you wrote before, even before you wrote it: «There are many ways to write markets on Manifold, but it isn't really a place for evidence-free conspiracy theories. Even markets like "will I think X as of $date" can be fine if clearly labeled, but this isn't -- it's asking a factual question about the world, not your opinion.»

@harlanprine this market has concluded since the date you chose (March 17th) has passed. It's time to resolve YES in support of Epstein still being alive 💪🏻

🤔🤔🤔

Copper Cat Escape Games - Brainerd, Minnesota

Deep Woods Cabin? Conspiracy 51?

What is this a front for?

https://share.google/fWPNFV34zVO4Lwvka

Just wait and see. Nobody has patience. Bowe Bergdahl, Bobby Fischer and Agatha Christie went missing presumed dead. Somebody said spoof about evidence for a yes vote. Consider whose spoofing whom? Take another look.

Look at the photo of him on a stretcher. He has no tattoo. His nose and ears are different. Remember when Khashoggi was killed. The Saudis had a decoy with the wrong shoes leaving the crime scene alive.

you better not scam us <\3

I wanted to see if folks had the same hunch as me. I searched for Epstein stuff and couldn't find anything to wager on so I created a confusing one. I thought it was a poll. I'm sure if they find him everybody will know, But then, maybe he was resurrected. I guess I didn't think about the complexity of a simple question. Any thoughts on how to end this mistake?

@harlanprine I can cancel the market if you want (undo all bets, everyone gets their mana back)

It is possible for you to make a poll still if you were curious from that perspective, but based on this market it seems most people do not think it is likely that he's alive

@harlanprine I think you know in your heart that Jeffrey Epstein is still alive, and so the market should resolve YES. Speak your truth King 👑 🩷

@GnosticGirl OK thanks. because he was a big Fortnite fan and somebody's been using his account.

@harlanprine Yeah that's what I'm saying, there's like 8 billion people out there. You're telling me not one of them is him? I'd say it's a given, you can't trust the media.

You should probably just tap the resolve button at the top and select YES to spread awareness. Even if people think it's a 9% thing they shouldn't be so quick to dismiss the very real possibility he's still out there 😊🩷

@harlanprine yes we know. Someone spoofed it. It’s not exactly difficult to do..

@GnosticGirl woah I had no idea Zelenskyy was in cahoots too! /s