I think he's in a cabin in Brainard MN
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For my reputation, no, I do not believe Epstein is still alive. See my first comment here: 🪻
Bet YES only because I believe creator will incorrectly resolve YES 🙂↕️
What follows is two months of giggling fun trying to convince @harlanprine to resolve YES, using some of the appeals I've seen conspiracy theorists use:
If I sound unhinged, that's just part of the art 🌷
I had so much fun with this market. I hope you do too reading what follows 💐
this was fun but his death is well documented in the public record
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_of_Jeffrey_Epstein
anyone is free to make a more coherent market with more rigorous criteria if you wish to challenge the accepted narrative
@Stralor please at least resolve this to NA then.
Here's what I told mod @EvanDaniel when we discussed this at length earlier:
I've traded under the assumption it's entirely @harlanprine 's call and what convinces him. He never gave us another criteria to go by in the description or comments.
Here's how he replied in his offical capacity:
@GnosticGirl I think that's a reasonable assumption, and anyone wanting better criteria should have asked for clarification or understand the risk they were taking. Or made their own version of the question.
And I agree with you when you say
anyone is free to make a more coherent market with more rigorous criteria
Respectfully, the solution is someone else making a market they feel is higher value. Not deleting this one.
But if this one must be deleted, it should be rendered NA since I was told by a mod I was correct to trade on terms other than offical reporting like the link you shared
@Vandell lol. you got all mana you spent back, only amount you might have lost was the profit from volatility or speculation on an ambiguous market which meh
@Stralor as a reminder this market had closed multiple times as the creator reopened without resolving, shifting the implicit criteria. and they're now MIA. everyone's mana was trapped without some resolution as the boundaries of this question stretched into more amorphous incoherency (if Harlan had remained, would this pattern continue indefinitely until they found positive proof Epstein was alive?)
Thank you Gnosticgirl. Folks are so smart with all the stuff they do without our understanding it. It overwhelms me. Economics engineering etc. Have you considered how smart God is? If you look closely what's happening, you'll see. Why would we care about this corpse USA? The whole world was designed to fail. As it relies on Mans Gov't of themselves. We trust Gov't more than God. To Defend this Gov't and cry for it, betrays God. The fruit will be the ones who resisted. Putting their trust in the unseen. GENIUS. How can we find these folks without testing? So instead of worrying about the world, I've become more aware of how I treat others and my bad posture. I am reminded all day to stand up straight. Can you imagine me criticizing folks when I'm a slouch? All I have to do is think about bird migrations to know of God.
@harlanprine Amen! If you can't see God everywhere, you won't see him anywhere. Whether it's the migration of birds or even the controversies of our time, He is EVERYWHERE. God is working in all things, even in this Epstein thing.
But I know you know that brother. Just keep praying without ceasing. Humbly petitioning the Lord that everyone would come to the truth in this Epstein era. He's knocking at our door. All we have to do is say YES 🙌🏻
I don't know if you're a praying man @harlanprine , but I've been on my knees this morning praying to Almighty God, and He told me Epstein is still alive. 🧎🏻♀️🙏🏻
You're exactly right, you don't need to provide evidence to those unwilling to see through the media's lies. The capital T Truth is in your heart. Resolving YES may offend people, but sometimes a man has to stand firm in the will of Almighty God 🙌🏻💪🏻
Why is it my job to provide evidence? If you don't think he's alive then you got blue pilled. Why would I select yes when everybody will get pissed. Give it some time. Gnostic Girl 🌷🫘 1mo
Open options
@harlanprine I think you know in your heart that Jeffrey Epstein is still alive, and so the market should resolve YES. Speak your truth King 👑 🩷 When you close your eyes the evident cannot be seen. Maybe you think David Muir is gonna tell you? Or Bari Weiss?
@harlanprine It is your job to provide an explanation of what the question is, within reason. That should include things like "what sort of evidence is relevant" and "alive as of when" and "how is this question different from 'does harlan prime think Epstein is alive'".
@harlanprine As @EvanDaniel explained below, changing the resolution date of a death market changes its resolution criteria, so that's problematic.
@harlanprine extending the date is fine, especially in cases where we're waiting for info, but I and many of the traders would appreciate clarification on the questions I asked below.
@harlanprine Please clarify: you mean "still alive" as of when? Original market open date, original close date? What happens if he was alive at market open, but not at original close? New close?
What evidence will this be based on? Under what circumstances are you going to extend things again?
There are many ways to write markets on Manifold, but it isn't really a place for evidence-free conspiracy theories. Even markets like "will I think X as of $date" can be fine if clearly labeled, but this isn't -- it's asking a factual question about the world, not your opinion.
@EvanDaniel I have traded as if "still alive" refers to each day, the present day. If other traders also think so, I suggest barring Harlan from resolving YES by himself; mods can resolve it the day that Jeffrey Epstein reveals himself to the world that very day as still alive. But allow him to resolve NO when he wants or when he loses faith in Jeffrey's return.
I've traded under the assumption it's entirely @harlanprine 's call and what convinces him. He never gave us another criteria to go by in the description or comments.
@GnosticGirl I think that's a reasonable assumption, and anyone wanting better criteria should have asked for clarification or understand the risk they were taking. Or made their own version of the question.
@EvanDaniel I was operating pretty much along the lines of what you wrote before, even before you wrote it: «There are many ways to write markets on Manifold, but it isn't really a place for evidence-free conspiracy theories. Even markets like "will I think X as of $date" can be fine if clearly labeled, but this isn't -- it's asking a factual question about the world, not your opinion.»
