Will there be a deadly assault on a Belgian politician in 2024?
8
39
190
2025
20%
chance

“Politician” is defined as any Belgian citizen that was, is or will be on an electable position in the 2019- or 2024-elections.

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Does it have to be "deadly" to the target, or does it also resolve YES if the attacker/a cop/a bystander/whoever gets killed but the target survives?

predicts YES

@ArmandodiMatteo It should be "deadly" to (at least) the target for it to resolve to YES.

bought Ṁ50 NO from 29% to 22%