See here for info on why/how gpt headline markets :
https://predictionmarkets.miraheze.org/wiki/GPT4_Headline_Markets

https://predictionmarkets.miraheze.org/wiki/Headline_Template
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Prediction Market Title:

"Will a Government Shutdown be Headlined by March 31st, 2024?"

Introduction:

Senators from both political parties are expressing concerns that disputes over the Department of Homeland Security's funding may lead to a government shutdown this month, linked to conflicts in approving necessary spending bills by March 22. The warning comes after Congress narrowly averted a partial shutdown last week by passing a set of six mainly uncontroversial spending bills just before the deadline. This situation underlines a critical juncture where bipartisan disagreements over immigration funding could trigger a shutdown, emphasizing the urgency and gravity of the current legislative deadlock.

Example Headlines for Market Resolution as YES:

• "Congress Fails to Reach Agreement, Government Shutdown Begins"

• "Department of Homeland Security Funding Stalemate Leads to Government Shutdown"

• "Partisan Disputes Cause Government Shutdown, Services Halted"

• "Partial Government Shutdown Official as Congress Misses Spending Bill Deadline"

• "Immigration Funding Fight Results in Government Shutdown"

Example Edge Case Headlines for Market Resolution as NO:

• "Congress Close to Shutdown but Passes Last-Minute Spending Bill"

• "Government Shutdown Averted with Temporary Funding Agreement"

• "Senators Reach Compromise to Keep Government Open Despite DHS Funding Debates"

• "Partial Shutdown Threat Looms but Congress Secures Funding for Department of Homeland Security"

• "Congress Nears Shutdown Deadline, but Key Spending Bills Passed to Maintain Operations"

Prompt to resolve market

<paste in market above rules above>

Using the above, will the following headline qualify?

<paste in headline + lead paragraph>

The prompt to resolve the market is submitted 3 times using temperature 0 via the OpenAI API to the latest GPT model broadly available. It must qualify all three times in order to resolve as YES.

Note that only headlines published before the end date in the title and from the following sources can be used: Reuters, WSJ, AP, washingtonpost, NYT, BBC, ABC, NBC, CBS, and The Economist.

Check out more headline markets here - https://manifold.markets/gpt_news_headlines