By when will the government shutdown end?
16
100Ṁ1687
Nov 17
99%
November 15
1%
November 8
1%
November 1
1%
October 25

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the first and all subsequent days after September 30, 2025 which the U.S. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.

Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.

The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

Gov shutdown
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"November 15 or later"

isn't this guaranteed to resolve yes? if it ends by Nov 15, that's 'yes', and if it ends later than nov 15, that's also yes?

@brod Hmm I guess I meant November 15. I'll just remove the or later part.

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