Will there be a second US government shutdown in 2025?
3
100Ṁ115
Dec 31
18%
chance

The US government has shutdown as of October 1st for the first time since the shutdown in Dec 2018-Jan 2019.

This question resolves YES if there is a second US government shutdown that begins in the calendar year of 2025.

For the purposes of this question, a "government shutdown" must involve furloughing of workers. For example, the brief shutdown on 9 Feb 2018 lasted only a few hours and did not furlough government workers, and so would not count.

This question resolves YES if a second government shutdown involving furloughed workers happens before the end of 31 Dec 2025, and otherwise resolves NO when the year ends (midnight EST).

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