Resolves to YES if there is a launch attempt of a full stacked Ariane 6 where at least one solid rocket boosters is ignited before 2025-01-01 (UTC).

Criteria for resolving are identical to my other market https://manifold.markets/fwave/will-there-be-an-ariane-6-launch-at

I may bet in this market.

Will there be an Ariane 6 launch attempt (excluding scrubs) before 2024-07-01?

50% chance. Resolves to YES if there is a launch attempt of a full stacked Ariane 6 where at least one solid rocket boosters is ignited before 2024-07-01 (UTC). What happens afterwards (e.g., clearing the tower, booster separation, explosion, ...) does not matter. I may bet in this market.