Can we give a birth to human from artificial womb in this decade?
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2026
19%
chance

Can we be able to develop such technologies till 2030?

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What qualifies as giving birth to a human from an artificial womb? Does a baby carried to term in the EXTEND artificial uterus count?

https://manifold.markets/JoeBrenton/will-a-human-trial-of-an-artificial?r=Sm9lQnJlbnRvbg

https://manifold.markets/JoeBrenton/will-the-fda-announce-a-decision-by?r=Sm9lQnJlbnRvbg

It’s not so much a matter of technological possibility but instead ethics barriers.

Why does it close in 2026?

@a2bb we be able to harvest a lot of votes till 2026 ) and wisdom of crowd will give an answer)

@fullerov I don't understand. When will the claim close and when will the resolution be made?

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