Will an artificial womb deliver a live human baby by ... ?
49
331
1.1k
2040
71%
2040
49%
2034
47%
2037
46%
2031
20%
2028
3%
2025

Defined as a human being gestated in a synthetic environment that replicates the conditions of a biological mother's uterus and being.

All years after the year this happens will resolve to YES, e.g. if it happens in 2029, then 2031, 2034, 2037, 2040... all resolve YES

Disclaimers:

  1. This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.

  2. If you would to add alternative answers, please do so in the comments!

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

Is it intentional that this market closes at the end of this year?

bought Ṁ80 of 2025 NO

Does this include babies that are transplanted from the womb from a human? Or do they have to start in the artificial womb?

More related questions