Will John Fetterman die by election day?
15
Ṁ200Ṁ836resolved Nov 9
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if John Fetterman is dead by election day 2022.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ71 | |
| 2 | Ṁ5 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 | |
| 4 | Ṁ2 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
Sort by:
From a quick google, I see he's 52 years old and has some health issues https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Fetterman#Health. They don't look particularly serious in terms of mortality risk. Is that about right or am I missing something? Can you add context?
@jack There's a lot of rumors since his stroke that he's not doing so well / hasn't been seen campaigning actively much. Just wanted to get a sense of what the real risk of him straight-up dying before election day would be.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will John Fetterman vote for Trump's nominee to succeed Pam Bondi?
34% chance
Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
24% chance
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate Seat?
13% chance
Will John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?
21% chance
Who will John Fetterman endorse or suggest voting for in the Maine senate election?
Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?
38% chance
Is John Fetterman more than one person?
1% chance
What will be Senator John Fetterman's official party registration on January 1, 2028?
If elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?