War declaration between Iran and Israel(or US)? | Manifold

War declaration between Iran and Israel(or US)?

16

100Ṁ572

Jul 13

32%

chance

9

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The market will be considered resolved as "YES" if either the US or Israel formally declares war against Iran, or if Iran formally declares war against Israel or US. Only official statements issued by the respective governments will qualify. Rhetorical comments or informal threats do not count.

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Countries don't tend to declare war these days.

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