How Many Countries Sign Tariff Deals with US by End of July 2025?
15
125Ṁ810
resolved Aug 1
100%62%
[1,5]
23%
[6,12]
7%
[13,20]
5%
[21,40]
3%
41 and more

This market tracks the number of countries that sign trade agreements with the United States by end of July 31, 2025, which:
• Include enforceable final rate of US tariffs (e.g. reduction, elimination, restructuring), and
• Are intended to help reduce the US trade imbalance (e.g. by boosting exports or reducing imports).

Only one entry per country will be counted, regardless of how many qualifying agreements it signs.

Non-binding memorandums, political statements, or framework agreements without enforceable tariff measures are excluded.


The trade deal with the United Kingdom qualifies and will be counted.

Deal with European Union (EU) will be counted as a single entity, not as individual member states.

Resolution will be based on official sources such as the administration of US President, US Trade Representative

  • Update 2025-08-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has proposed resolving the market early, prior to the July 31, 2025 end date specified in the description. This resolution would be to the range [1,5] if no traders object.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ25
2Ṁ23
3Ṁ20
4Ṁ19
5Ṁ13
Sort by:

@traders only UK, Indonesia, Japan and EU reached to final agreement and signed deal. do you agree to resolve [1,5]?

@fornever "sign" means "sign", but it's not the end of July yet.

@CraigDemel resolving to the [1,5] if no one disagree

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy