1
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2025?
16
closes 2025
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Popular for this market= 10mil+ human users
Personal texts = dms, private chats, WhatsApp chats, discord dms, lw dms, etc.
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Ṁ18
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Will a major technology company publicly admit to using a LLM for important decision making before 2025?23%
By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?70%
Will we have a reliable detector software to differentiate between LLM generated and human generated text by 2023 end?17%
Will the general public in the United States become deeply concerned by LLM-facilitated scams by Aug 2 2023?12%
In 2030, will LLMs be sending messages to coordinate with one another, whether we can decode them or not?62%
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