Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)
30
closes 2027
33%
chance

From Wikipedia:

Well-known bestseller lists in the U.S. are published by Publishers Weekly, USA Today, The New York Times and The Washington Post. Most of these lists track book sales from national and independent bookstores, as well as sales from major internet retailers such as Amazon.com and Barnes & Noble

If the book I author appears in Publishers weekly, NYT, Washington Post or USA today as a bestselling book, before the close date, then this market resolves yes.

If all of these lists cease to exist, then resolves N/A. if any of them still operate, then they count.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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MichaelWheatley avatar
Michael Wheatley

where does co-authoring fall?

2 replies
firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherepredicts YES

@MichaelWheatley If the co-authoring is a significant enough thing to make it so that both authors share the authorship, then it counts. Assistance to another for writing their book doesn't. Something like Good Omens counts:

MichaelWheatley avatar
Michael Wheatley

@firstuserhere Thanks. I was afraid of another AI Letter situation so I'm trying ot work out all the angles.

jskfbought Ṁ1,000 ofNO
jskf avatar
jskf

If I lose this bet I will pirate your book to recoup my losses.

2 replies
firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherebought Ṁ50 of YES

@jskf I will upload the EPUB to wherever libgen points to, myself xD

jskf avatar
jskfpredicts NO

your publisher might not like that!

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherebought Ṁ0 of YES

I've never authored a book before.

1 reply
firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherepredicts YES

@firstuserhere the longest thing I've ever written was 8 years ago, a 15k word long story centred around death and regret.

(Excluding any theses written)