Who will place BOTTOM 3 in Masters S5 League "Stellar Poltergeists"?
Mini
25
แน4803resolved Oct 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
https://manifold.markets/leagues/5/masters/stellar-poltergeists
In the event of any shenanigans, this will resolve to the rulings of the Manifold Admins regarding the final standings of the league.
Resolution:
Last place = 50%
2nd Last place = 30%
3rd Last place = 20%
Get แน1,000 play money
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน639 | |
| 2 | แน522 | |
| 3 | แน127 | |
| 4 | แน73 | |
| 5 | แน61 |
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@PC underrated here - he started the season with ~40k mana earned due to shenanigans on the last day of season 4, which if reversed by admin action would put him quite negative right now.
Even if the 40k is left alone, some of PC's largest bets are currently trading at low probabilities, so the most likely outcome is large losses to come, if you believe market pricing.
@chrisjbillington For what it's worth, by a similar argument I'm underrated - my profit will decline by ~80k if one market currently priced at 18% resolves NO.