Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?
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Per the International Energy Agency, the current global population exposed to high levels of air pollution (>35 µg/m3) is 33% (IEA).
If current policies are maintained, it is estimated that 2030 levels will be 31%; however, if the Net Zero Scenario is met, estimates fall to 7%.
Market resolves once 2030 numbers are published by the IEA. If IEA does not publish relevant data, market resolves with consensus within peer reviewed literature.
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