Will air quality in Los Angeles improve by 2037?
19
1kṀ1099
2037
87%
chance
Air quality in Los Angeles is in the yellow range on the Air Quality Index (AQI) according to PurpleAir.com as of June 2022 (reference 1). From reference 1, it seems to have the lowest air quality in California. In 2020, Gavin Newsom "issued an executive order requiring sales of all new passenger vehicles to be zero-emission by 2035" (reference 2). This question will resolve to YES if the Los Angeles AQI reduces from yellow (AQI of 51-100) to green (AQI of 0-50) by June 17, 2037, at noon Pacific Time. The question is purely about the AQI, not whether Gavin Newsom's executive order caused the decrease since that is too hard to determine. References: 1. 1-week average for Los Angeles from PurpleAir.com based on the US EPA PM2.5 AQI standard where yellow is AQI of 51-100 (https://map.purpleair.com/1/mAQI/a10080/p604800/cC0?select=96243#9/33.9734/-118.1833) 2. https://www.gov.ca.gov/2020/09/23/governor-newsom-announces-california-will-phase-out-gasoline-powered-cars-drastically-reduce-demand-for-fossil-fuel-in-californias-fight-against-climate-change/
Science
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the share of population exposed to high levels of air pollution fall below 15% by 2030?
21% chance
Will PM2.5 levels of Toronto in 2025 be higher than those of 2023?
37% chance
Will PM2.5 levels of NYC in 2025 be higher than those in 2022?
30% chance
Will Los Angeles freeze over by 2030?
35% chance
Will air pollution in Dubai decrease below 25 μg/m³ PM2.5 by 2030?
45% chance
Will we get synthetic lungs before 2035?
44% chance
ICE anonymity in Los Angeles limited by December 31, 2025?
19% chance
Will the air quality index in New Delhi, India on January 1st, 2030 be Good or Moderate?
68% chance
Will smog be a thing of the past in 2123?
81% chance
Will the WHO Global Air Quality Guidelines set stricter recommendations for PM2.5 and PM10 air pollution before 2030?
69% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy