Using synthetic biology, will humans bring back dinosaurs?
34
1kṀ1779
2050
19%
within 10 years
48%
10-50 years
57%
50-100 years
8%
greater than 100 years
54%
never

At the Gingko Bioworks FERMENT 2024 summit, the Head of Research at CRISPR Technologies stated that with the power of synbio we will recreate dinosaurs within 10 years.

Will this be possible/will we actually do it?

Resolves yes if a fully formed dinosaur roams the Earth again, but does not include dinosaur « ingredients » (i.e. dinosaur meat, collagen, etc.).

Technology
Science
Biotech
SynBio
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will we get synthetic stomachs before 2035?
58% chance
Will we bring back a dinosaur before 2040?
28% chance
Will a previously extinct animal species be successfully cloned and brought back to life before 2035?
70% chance
Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040?
27% chance
Will we be able to clone a human being from a live sample of their DNA by 2040?
34% chance
Which extinct species will be brought back to life by 2037?
Will the equivalent of a Jurassic Park be built by 2050?
18% chance
Will someone clone an extinct animal, such as a mammoth, by the end of the decade?
51% chance
Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?
89% chance
Will a synthetic biological intelligence system be developed that can match the intelligence of a bumblebee by 2030?
46% chance
Sort by:

How will you decide between "greater than 100 years" and "never"?

M L soldṀ3 NO

Will only one option resolve YES?

I think there's a movie about this or something

@ItsMe Yeah, "Triassic Zoo" or something like that.

Does this include extinct birds?

@ML12d1 excellent question! yes, I suppose it does.

here are some references that will help inform resolution and potential edge cases:

@fe_mey Thanks! I keep forgetting that pterosaurs aren't dinosaurs. :-D

bought Ṁ100 NO

@fe_mey If "extinct birds" count, how recently do they have to have been driven to extinction? Does bringing back the passenger pigeon count?

People are also trading

Will we get synthetic stomachs before 2035?
+15% 1d58% chance
Will we bring back a dinosaur before 2040?
28% chance
Will a previously extinct animal species be successfully cloned and brought back to life before 2035?
70% chance
Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040?
27% chance
Will we be able to clone a human being from a live sample of their DNA by 2040?
34% chance
Which extinct species will be brought back to life by 2037?
Will the equivalent of a Jurassic Park be built by 2050?
18% chance
Will someone clone an extinct animal, such as a mammoth, by the end of the decade?
51% chance
Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?
89% chance
Will a synthetic biological intelligence system be developed that can match the intelligence of a bumblebee by 2030?
46% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy