The Associated Press has reported that an anonymous source is claiming Canadian prime minister Mark Carney will call a snap election on Sunday March 23, 2025. The anonymity of the source and the somewhat unexpected nature of this move suggests it may not occur as reported.

https://apnews.com/article/canada-election-mark-carney-trump-tariffs-us-183999b9ec9ca31c200a0d1a0cbbe01b

This market will resolve YES if by March 24 it has been credibly reported that prime minister Mark Carney initiated the process of calling a snap election on March 23, 2025. Any other outcome will resolve NO.

I will not be betting on this market.