PeterNjeim bets on Makeworld's fair resolution market of Peter's Canadian election market?
PeterNjeim bets on Makeworld's fair resolution market of Peter's Canadian election market?
2
100Ṁ267resolved Mar 21
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on frequent hiding of dissenting comments and his large position in his own market, some users have called into question whether user PeterNjeim will resolve his significant Canadian election market honestly. For this reason, I saw it useful to predict whether Peter will eventually bet on the market made by @makeworld on whether Peter will honestly resolve his market.
This market will immediately resolve YES if @PeterNjeim bets on the embedded market before it resolves.
Note: While I will not bet on this market, I do hold significant positions in Peter's market and may eventually bet on makeworld's market, both of which could influence whether Peter bets on makeworld's market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ114 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Peter Njeim misresolves the 2025 Canadian election market?
4% chance
Will Peter's Canada election market resolve honestly?
92% chance
Will I make a profit on the Canada PM election market and Tumbles loan?
67% chance
Will Polymarket correctly predict the next Canadian prime minister the night before the election?
78% chance
Will Polymarket allow US citizens to bet on the 2026 midterms?
40% chance