Will Peter's Canada election market resolve honestly?

Question

@PeterNjeim has a market on the Canadian election:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/PeterNjeim/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-f13eee1bee08?play=true)Peter has a very large stake in this market, in opposition to what current poll aggregators say. This stake is partially financed by loans. Will this market resolve correctly?

The following cases would be considered incorrect resolution and cause this market to resolve NO:

Peter resolving the market before the PM is officially declared by the gov

Peter resolving the market in opposition to who the PM actually is

Peter waiting over 48 hours to resolve the market after the PM is officially declared

Peter being unresponsive

Mods being forced to resolve the market due to unresponsiveness or issues

All other cases should resolve YES.

I may trade in this market.

Update 2025-04-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on official declaration (for the 48-hour rule):

Validated results: when Elections Canada publishes final, validated election results

Governor General: when the Governor General formally acknowledges or swears in the new Prime Minister

This bullet is guidance only, not a strictly enforced deadline

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on May 4, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.