Will Spruce Pine, NC high-purity quartz mining be fully operational on December 31, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ52027
78%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if both Sibelco and The Quartz Corp (Imerys) HPQ mining and processing operations at Spruce Pine, Mitchell County, NC are operating at normal (>80% of nameplate) capacity on December 31, 2027.
YES if: Both Spruce Pine HPQ operations confirmed operational on Dec 31, 2027 NO if: Either operation is shut down, curtailed >20%, or in force majeure on Dec 31, 2027
Resolution sources (priority order):
Sibelco corporate press releases (sibelco.com)
The Quartz Corp / Imerys press releases
Reuters / Bloomberg supply chain reporting
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Spruce Pine, NC high-purity quartz mining be fully operational on December 31, 2026?
92% chance
Will someone disrupt the global semiconductor supply chain by disrupting high-purity quartz mines by EOY 2028?
11% chance
Will Molymet's Chilean rhenium APR facility be at normal operations on December 31, 2027?
85% chance
Will Ucore's Alaska Strategic Metals Complex be producing Sm2O3 at commercial scale on December 31, 2027?
50% chance
Will Molymet's Chilean rhenium APR facility be at normal operations on December 31, 2026?
92% chance
Will the Panguna Mine resume operations by 2028?
60% chance
Will Lynas LAMP NdPr oxide production exceed 3500 tonnes NdPr oxide on June 30, 2026?
25% chance
Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 2500 tpa on December 31, 2026?
72% chance
Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
71% chance
Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 1000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
79% chance