Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
51
Ṁ1kṀ5.9k2030
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Question will resolve Yes if a landing occurs if a Starship rocket operated by SpaceX lands on Mars before January 1st 2030. Landing will count as a success if the rocket does not explode on impact, and the majority of the payload is in tact.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
18% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
45% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2060?
61% chance
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
11% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2030?
45% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2040?
47% chance
When will Starship land on Mars?
Will SpaceX land on the MOON before Dec 31st 2028?
15% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
2% chance