Will SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ52Dec 31
59%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will SPCX's price return, measured from its first-trade opening print on June 12, 2026 to the close on December 31, 2026, exceed the Nasdaq Composite price index (^IXIC) return over the same period?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceX valuation drop by -50% or more from its ATH?
57% chance
SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2026
SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026
SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026
Will SpaceX market cap be higher 1 year after IPO?
59% chance
How high will SpaceX get on the Market Cap Leaderboard in 2026?
Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?
41% chance
Will SpaceX have a higher market cap than Amazon at the end of 2026?
39% chance
Will SpaceX close at a value below its IPO price before the end of 2026?
79% chance
Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026?
46% chance