Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
193
Ṁ1.4kṀ36k
2027
75%
chance
5

His current term runs till January 3 2027.

Market context
Politics
US Politics
Mitch McConnell
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Mitch McConnell speak this year?
63% chance
When will Mitch McConnell retire?
Mitch McConnell alive all of October 2026?
89% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
23% chance
Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?
4% chance
Will Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026?
22% chance
If Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
32% chance
If Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
33% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?
60% chance
Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before 2027?
64% chance
Sort by:
sold Ṁ1 NO

He released a statement. “I’m gonna Joe Biden it.”

@KevinBlaw At least Biden had a verifiable pulse

bought Ṁ100 YES

theta

@JonathanRay What does this mean?

@b575 Look up "theta in finance". In short, it's time decay.

People are also trading

Will Mitch McConnell speak this year?
63% chance
When will Mitch McConnell retire?
Mitch McConnell alive all of October 2026?
89% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
-4% 1d23% chance
Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?
4% chance
Will Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026?
22% chance
If Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
32% chance
If Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat?
33% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?
60% chance
Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before 2027?
64% chance