Will resolve yes if Manifold reaches 100k monthly active users some time before 2027.
People are also trading
@RutgerDeMaeyer
Monthly active users not shown on https://manifold.markets/stats
The 7 day average did nearly reach 160,000 (daily reaching nearly 180k) but it appears to be a brief spike quickly back down to ~50,000. Will you look for any 30 day period when the average of daily numbers is over 100,000 or is there some other method you will use? Details of such other method might matter if there is another spike so it would be useful to know such details.
@Gen how about you help provide clarity by giving us the info: How many monthly active users does Manifold have, and what is the peak number of them that you have seen in the past?
@Eliza not very difficult to extract and to save others the effort:
Sep 4 92039
Sep 5 67513
Sep 6 49312
Sep 7 70739
Sep 8 59278
Sep 9 58229
Sep 10 61601
Sep 11 53162
Sep 12 55359
Sep 13 69325
Sep 14 67526
Sep 15
Sep 16 59258
Sep 17 47849
Sep 18 47905
Sep 19 43909
Sep 20 50686
Sep 21 73953
Sep 22 81065
Sep 23 79228
Sep 24 77259
Sep 25 82555
Sep 26 43339
Sep 27 33638
Sep 28 122541
Sep 29
Sep 30 157980
Oct 1 190231
Oct 2 179624
Oct 3 152124
Oct 4 157578
Oct 5 103517
Oct 6 52159
Seems like this gets to a 30 day average of ~83272 and the average now seems to be reducing
@ChristopherRandles I don't want to rule out the idea that Genzy has some other metrics available. This market did not really specify a resolution source or method and I would defer to whatever @Gen says if there is some key difference.