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MANIFOLD
Will Kamala be the Democratic party nominee in 2032?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ282
2032
12%
chance

And stay that way through election day

Will judge based on the goal here. Is the party subtly changes its name, it's still the same party. If due to a natural disaster the day is delayed or advanced by a week it still is "election day"

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