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MANIFOLD
Will Brazil join NATO by the end of 2026?
10
Ṁ100Ṁ670
2027
3%
chance

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NATO

Resolves YES if their instrument of ascension is deposited by the end of the market

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The current ruling party is rabidly anti-USA and anti-NATO and the next presidential elections are in 2026. I think even 10% is too high for this one.