Will Artemis II crew successfully complete lunar flyby and return to Earth?
26
Ṁ100Ṁ2.4kresolved Apr 12
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if all four Artemis II crew members (Wiseman, Glover, Koch, Hansen) successfully complete the lunar flyby and splash down safely on Earth. Resolves NO if the mission is aborted before lunar flyby or if crew does not return safely.
Artemis II launched April 1, 2026. The 10-day mission is the first crewed lunar flyby since Apollo 17 in 1972. Lunar flyby scheduled for April 6, splashdown around April 11.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ89 | |
| 2 | Ṁ17 | |
| 3 | Ṁ13 | |
| 4 | Ṁ13 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
1% chance
Will Artemis 3 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
95% chance
Will Artemis 4 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
96% chance
Will Artemis 6 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
95% chance
Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
96% chance
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
2% chance
Will NASA's Artemis 3 mission be successful?
80% chance
Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon?
50% chance
Will ESA's HERACLES mission successfully land on the moon?
57% chance